The Future of CMS Value-Based Care: What to Expect by 2030

Story by Connor Danielowski / August 4, 2025

Value-based care (VBC) has become a central pillar of healthcare reform in the United States. Since its introduction, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has steadily shifted from fee-for-service (FFS) models toward care delivery frameworks that emphasize quality, outcomes, and efficiency. As we look ahead to 2030, CMS’s commitment to value-based care is not only expected to intensify – it will reshape how providers, payers, and patients experience the healthcare system.

Here’s what healthcare professionals, clinical partners, and care management teams should be preparing for over the next five years.


1. Universal Participation in Value-Based Models

By 2030, CMS aims to have every Medicare beneficiary and the vast majority of Medicaid enrollees in some form of value-based arrangement. This includes both voluntary and mandatory models, covering everything from Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) to bundled payments, capitation, and risk-sharing contracts.

Organizations that haven’t yet participated will likely be required to adopt VBC frameworks – especially as CMS introduces more aggressive timelines for mandatory participation. Those already engaged in value-based care should expect expanded scope, tighter metrics, and deeper integration with population health efforts.


2. Increased Focus on Health Equity

CMS has made it clear that advancing health equity is central to the future of value-based care. By 2030, payment models will likely incorporate equity-focused quality metrics, stratified reporting by race, ethnicity, and social determinants of health (SDOH), and new incentives for closing care gaps in underserved populations.

Providers will need to build infrastructure to identify, track, and address disparities – and care teams will be expected to demonstrate real-world improvements in equitable outcomes.

equity-focused quality metrics

3. Integration of Digital Health and Remote Monitoring

The use of digital health tools, such as Remote Patient Monitoring (RPM), Chronic Care Management (CCM), and telehealth, is becoming a standard part of value-based workflows. By 2030, these technologies won’t just be optional enhancements – they’ll be essential to meeting the requirements of CMS care models.

Expect CMS to continue refining billing codes, promoting interoperability, and prioritizing solutions that reduce administrative burden while enhancing clinical insights. Clinical staffing partners who support virtual care management, like Chronic Care Staffing, will play a crucial role in extending access and improving care coordination across dispersed populations.


4. Data Transparency and Real-Time Quality Reporting

By the end of the decade, value-based care will demand a real-time understanding of clinical performance and cost data. CMS is pushing for interoperability, API-driven systems, and integration across EHR platforms and third-party vendors.

Providers will need teams who can support both clinical documentation accuracy and real-time reporting, enabling faster insights and quicker adjustments to meet performance benchmarks. The staffing strategy of the future must include professionals skilled in data analysis, quality reporting, and regulatory compliance.

Data Transparency and Real-Time Quality Reporting

5. Expansion of Home-Based and Community Care Models

The next evolution of value-based care will further decentralize traditional care settings. CMS has shown interest in expanding support for hospital-at-home programs, community paramedicine, and in-home primary care – especially for patients with complex chronic conditions.

As a result, care teams will need to adapt to new workflows, including mobile nursing, virtual rounding, and community outreach. Chronic Care Staffing is already helping healthcare organizations extend their footprint into the home, and we anticipate this need will accelerate through 2030.


Final Thoughts

The future of CMS value-based care is one of deeper accountability, broader participation, and technology-enabled delivery. Success will depend not only on adapting to regulatory changes, but also on building the workforce, data systems, and care models that align with CMS’s ambitious vision.

At Chronic Care Staffing, we are committed to helping organizations navigate this transformation with the right people and the right processes. As 2030 approaches, strategic staffing and care coordination will be more important than ever in achieving the promise of value-based care.

Contact us today to learn more or schedule a consultation to see our solutions for providers!


About the Author

Connor Danielowski

Chief Operating Officer, Chronic Care Staffing

Connor Danielowski is the Chief Operating Officer at Chronic Care Staffing, where he leads operations, strategy, and growth initiatives focused on delivering high-impact virtual care solutions. He brings a unique blend of clinical service knowledge and financial expertise to help healthcare organizations implement and scale Chronic Care Management (CCM), Remote Patient Monitoring (RPM), and other virtual care management services.

Connor began his career in investment banking and private equity, where he focused on investing in healthcare businesses and working closely with management teams to drive revenue growth and profitability. This experience shaped his hands-on, results-oriented approach to healthcare operations today.

He holds a degree in Accounting from Washington & Lee University and brings both analytical rigor and a patient-first mindset to his role. In addition to his work at Chronic Care Staffing, Connor serves on the development board for the MUSC College of Nursing. He lives in Charleston, SC, with his wife and son.


 
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